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Scientific Reports on Climate

 

The NCAR research

Here are several links from stories about the initial report from NCAR, published in the AGU journal on May 1st 2007, based on data from actual observations in the Arctic that show the ice receding at three times the rate predicted in the worst case models used by the IPCC. That NCAR report was published just prior to release of the IPCC report on May 8th, 2007.

IPCC
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/6615025.stm

Short version
http://www.inthenews.co.uk/news/science/science/arctic-ice-shrinking-rapidly-$1081329.htm

Longer version
http://cbs13.com/topstories/topstories_story_121104356.html

NCAR paper in the AGU journal (primary source)
http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2007.../2007GL029703.shtml


The NAS study that followed

The U.S. National Academy of Sciences published a study revealing that world CO2 emissions are now accelerating three times faster than scientists have feared, and much faster than the hypothetical worst-case scenario used for forecasting climate change by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Here's a link to an article from the U.K. Independent explaining the importance of the NAS study
http://environment.independent.co.uk/climate_change/article2609305.ece

As the Independent article points out, "The significance is that this is much faster than even the highest scenario outlined in this year's massive reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)-- and suggests that their dire forecasts of devastating harvests, dwindling water supplies, melting ice and loss of species are likely to be understating the threat facing the world."

The full NAS study can be found at
http://www.pnas.org/cgi/reprint/0700609104v1


The Hansen report

James Hansen, has co-authored a report with five other world-renowned climate experts published in the Transactions of the British Royal Society download pdf (Planetwork server)

James Hansen, Director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies and the most respected climate scientist in the United States, has just published a crucial new study on the climate change crisis. The study, co-authored with five other world-renowned climate experts and published in the Transactions of the British Royal Society, ends with a section entitled "Planet Earth Today: Imminent Peril." Hansen concludes that the situation is far worse than the worst-case scenarios projected recently by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and that only a radical transformation of human activity within the next 10 years can avert an imminent planetary "cataclysm" in a time-frame that could be as short as "decadal" (i.e., measured in decades, not centuries). text of story about it in the UK Independent

UK Independent source text:
http://environment.independent.co.uk/climate_change/article2675747.ece

original source:
http://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/docs/2007/2007_Hansen_etal_2.pdf

 

Framing commentary by David Ulansey Ph.D.

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